Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001047 1.190271e-03 0.001334 0.001489 0.001651 0.001813 0.001989
2025-12-14 0.000797 1.001390e-03 0.001214 0.001448 0.001698 0.001954 0.002236
2025-12-21 0.000647 8.984127e-04 0.001168 0.001473 0.001803 0.002148 0.002532
2025-12-28 0.000486 7.663310e-04 0.001078 0.001439 0.001839 0.002262 0.002737
2026-01-04 0.000375 6.775720e-04 0.001027 0.001442 0.001908 0.002406 0.002971
2026-01-11 0.000274 5.876111e-04 0.000966 0.001427 0.001952 0.002519 0.003168
2026-01-18 0.000193 5.108204e-04 0.000914 0.001416 0.001996 0.002629 0.003358
2026-01-25 0.000106 4.088587e-04 0.000822 0.001352 0.001976 0.002664 0.003463
2026-02-01 0.000054 3.412824e-04 0.000766 0.001326 0.001996 0.002741 0.003611
2026-02-08 0.000024 2.966820e-04 0.000736 0.001329 0.002046 0.002850 0.003791
2026-02-15 0.000006 2.627895e-04 0.000716 0.001343 0.002108 0.002969 0.003982
2026-02-22 NaN 2.400253e-04 0.000710 0.001371 0.002185 0.003105 0.004190
2026-03-01 NaN 1.853106e-04 0.000663 0.001362 0.002235 0.003231 0.004412
2026-03-08 NaN 1.259603e-04 0.000599 0.001328 0.002256 0.003324 0.004600
2026-03-15 NaN 9.829208e-05 0.000583 0.001355 0.002351 0.003505 0.004886
2026-03-22 NaN 5.608434e-05 0.000527 0.001326 0.002375 0.003600 0.005075
2026-03-29 NaN 3.195939e-05 0.000497 0.001330 0.002438 0.003741 0.005316
2026-04-05 NaN 1.097041e-05 0.000457 0.001316 0.002478 0.003853 0.005521
2026-04-12 NaN 3.550413e-07 0.000422 0.001306 0.002520 0.003967 0.005728
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000356 0.001244 0.002494 0.003997 0.005837
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000317 0.001220 0.002514 0.004081 0.006006
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001223 0.002567 0.004204 0.006220
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001236 0.002634 0.004342 0.006449